September 12, 2011

ESPN’s New Total Quarterback Rating – Explained (A Little)

ESPN took it upon itself to create a new Quarterback Rating system, that gives QBs a 1-100 rating based on a number of different things rather than the classic system. Here's  a little but about the categories:

Scoring: 0-100, from low to high. An average QB would be at 50.

Win Probability: All QB plays are scored based on how much they contribute to a win. By determining expected point totals for almost any situation, Total QBR is able to apply points to a quarterback based on every type of play he would be involved in. ESPN went back through 10 years of NFL play-by-play data to look at game situation (down, distance, yard line, clock time, timeouts, home field, field surface and score), along with the ultimate outcome of the game, to develop a win probability function.

Dividing Credit: Total QBR factors in how much a QB contributes to each play. ESPN tracks overthrows, underthrows, dropped passes, defended passes and yards after the catch. They take this information and analyze how much of it was related to the QB, the receivers and the blockers. Pass protection is related mostly to the QB and the offensive line, but yards after the catch is more about what the receiver does. ESPN states that statistical analysis was able to show this, and they divided credit based on those things.

Clutch Index: How critical a certain play is based on when it happens in a game is factored into the score. A normal play has a clutch index of 1.0. For instance, first-and-goal from the 10-yard line in a tie game at the start of the second quarter has a clutch index of almost exactly 1.0. A more clutch situation, one late in the game when the game is close — the same situation as above but midway through the fourth quarter, for example — has a clutch index of about 2.0. Maximum clutch indices are about 3.0, and minimum indices are about 0.3.

These clutch index values came from an analysis of how different situations affect a game's win probability on average. One way to think of it is in terms of pressure. A clutch play is defined before the play by how close the game appears to be.

 

I like the idea, but the problem is that some of it, such as how "Clutch" a play is, seems totally subjective. I'm sure ESPN is going to push this all season, but hopefully it doesn't catch on. You should have to watch and judge every play a QB makes, and in what situation you feel it is, just to get a number.

 

You can read a lot more about it, and catch a video explaining it, over at the ESPN site HERE.

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August 15, 2011

ESPN Ultimate Draft Day Party Sweepstakes Presented by Hooters

This is an awesome trip for the simple reason that the trip is for you and 9 friends. That could be a seriously great Vegas trip. Here's the details:

One Grand Prize: Trip for winner and nine guests to Las Vegas, NV in August 2012, as well as a Fantasy Football Draft Party while in Las Vegas, NV. Trip includes round trip coach air transportation for ten from major U.S. gateway airport nearest winner's primary residence in the U.S., 3-nights standard double occupancy hotel accommodations (five (5) rooms), ground transfers to/from the airport/hotel & admission for winner plus nine guests to their own Fantasy Football Draft Party including food & drink (excluding alcoholic beverages).

 

The contest runs until 9/7/11, and you can get all the details on how to enter HERE.

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March 31, 2011

Keep Your Grip Las Vegas Sweepstakes

This is a really good giveaway. It is a long way out though. Here's the details:

Why watch next year’s Big Game in the quiet comfort of your living room…when you could win your own awesome viewing party in Las Vegas for you and three friends? The Grand Prize includes round-trip airfare, three days and two nights of deluxe suite accommodations, a catered food spread for the game and $500 cash to drop on…well, it’s probably better that it stay in Vegas.

Don't worry, if you aren't the grand prize winner there is still more to go around because 100 First prize winners will receive an exclusive football signed by Michael Strahan, himself!

The sweepstakes runs until June 30, 2011, and you can enter it HERE.

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September 22, 2010

NFL Branded Leather Recliner


I realize that most of you probably aren't Bears fans, which I find horribly misguided, but regardless, you have to admit its a pretty sweet chair.

Here's the details from Amazon:

From hanging out at the stadium to lounging in front of the TV, no one knows sitting quite like a sports fan. Now you can take your seating expertise to the next level with the Dreamseat NFL leather recliner, the ultimate chair for the serious sports fan. Made of high-quality top-grain leather, the chair is extremely comfortable, with a chaise lounge design that provides continuous head-to-toe support when fully reclined. More significantly for NFL fans, the chair offers an embroidered team logo sewn into the back, making it easy to root for your favorite team in front of the HDTV. And users with relatively small TV rooms will love the Wallaway feature, which lets you store the chair just inches from the wall without affecting its ability to recline.

The chair–which also includes a generously sized cup holder in each arm that holds most cans, bottles, and drink cups–measures 34 by 36 by 41 inches (W x H x D) and carries the following warranties: lifetime on the frame, spring system, and reclining mechanism, five years on the cushions, and one year on the fabric.

 

You can of course get the chair with any NFL team on it, along with any MLB, NBA, or NHL also. The chair isn't going to come cheap of course, costing $999 right now (usually its around $1350), but it is a hell of a nice chair.

You can check out all of the chairs, starting with the Bears one above, over at Amazon here:

DreamSeat Chicago Bears NFL Leather Recliner


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July 30, 2010

Pre-Order Madden 11 – Get $20 Off Another Game

Most of us are going to run out and buy the new Madden 11 game as soon as it hits the shelves on August 10th. I figure you might as well get a free $20 for doing it.

Here's the deal from Amazon:

Pre-order Madden NFL 11, for Wii, PS3, or Xbox 360, and get $20 off a future video game purchase. The promotional code will be placed directly into your Amazon.com account within 2 business days after the product ships.

So click the following link, get your game, and make $20:

Madden NFL 11

 

If you're wondering what has been updated in this year's version, there's not a whole lot.  Here's what you'll get:

* Experience Madden NFL redefined online as well as a new level of excitement with revamped audio presentation, from the booth and the field

* All-new GameFlow playcall system puts you inside the helmet of an NFL quarterback like never before, allowing you to execute authentic NFL game plans one play at a time

* Play games in half the time with an all-new playcall system, as you experience the drama and excitement of a full game in less than 30 minutes

* All-new Dual Stick Control drastically reduces button dependency for the ball carrier by mapping key moves to the right and left sticks

* New Coaching Tips automatically pause the game at critical points to help explain each situation as it unfolds

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January 12, 2010

Luxury Super Bowl XLIV Travel Packages

This is a pretty amazing deal if you have the cash for it. Here's the details:

Classic Super Bowl Package
(per person)

Four days/ 3 nights accommodation during Super Bowl 2010 at the Crest Hotel Suites – South Beach or Shula's Hotel and Golf Club from February 5, 2010 to February 8, 2010

Free round-trip airfare from anywhere in the Continental United States departing on February 5, 2010 and returning on February 8, 2010

One Upper Level ticket to Super Bowl XLIV taking place in Miami, FL on February 7, 2010 (Custom Ticket Upgrades Available)

Luxury bus transportation to and from the Super Bowl

Round-trip airport transfers in Miami

Access to NFL Gameday Fan Plaza

Concierge and personal representative service to help make your Super Bowl trip as enjoyable as possible.

Welcome Gift and Complimentary Beverage upon arrival to hotel

Complimentary Breakfast Daily

All taxes and service charges

Double Occupancy: $4,350.00
Single Occupancy: $4,850.00

 

You can check it out HERE .

There are a few other more expensive packages too, if you have the means.

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January 6, 2010

ESPN To Create A 3D Channel

I love this idea. The downside is that most people will need to upgrade their TV to even see the game. However, when they tested this out during the USC vs. Ohio State game, they showed it in several movie theaters. I'd be more than happy to hit a local theater that serves food and beer to watch the game.

Here's the details from ESPN:

Sports broadcasting will enter a new dimension in 2010 … the third dimension, as ESPN will unveil the industry's first 3-D network.

ESPN 3D will showcase a minimum of 85 live sporting events during its first year, beginning June 11 with the first 2010 FIFA World Cup match, featuring South Africa versus Mexico, ESPN and ABC Sports president George Bodenheimer announced.

Other events to be produced in 3-D include the 2011 BCS National Championship Game, college basketball and football contests, up to 25 World Cup matches and the Summer X Games. Additional events will be announced at a later date.

 

 

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September 29, 2009

Last Weekend’s Football Picks

I was pretty much terrible last week in my football picks,going a whole 1 for 4. I'm going to have to work a little harder on these.

I was surprised that Penn State chocked again against Iowa. That was just terrible. ND won the game, but didn't cover the point spread as I was afraid they wouldn't They're still playing down to their competition. Florida State losing to South Florida was something I would have never guessed. On the up side, I'm pretty sure that the Saints are a lock for the rest of the year until the point spread starts getting around 15. 

Hopefully I do a hell of a lot better next weekend.

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September 25, 2009

My Weekend Football Picks

Saints vs. Bills

The Saints have a couple of running backs out, and T.O. is always a problem for people, but I still really like the Saints in this one. I think they just have too high powered of an offense to be slowed down too much by the Bills.

Pick: Saints at -7

 

Florida State Seminoles vs. South Florida Bulls

The line on this game is -15 right now for Florida State. I think this should be a pretty easy game for them. I don't think the 15 points is really that bad. I might put this one in a Parlay though, and take six points, putting the game at -9 for FS.

Pick: Florida State Seminoles at -15

 

Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Iowa Hawkeyes

The great thing about Penn State I like is that they go out ready for each game. Iowa isn't terrible, but I think Penn State is on a good roll, and will win this one by a few touchdowns.

Pick: Penn State -10

 

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Purdue Boilermakers -7 1/2

I'm a little hesitant with this pick, but I'm going to go with it. ND seems to have a bad habit of playing down to their competition, and this might be no different. I think the line is a little soft on this one though, because of the last second ND win last week against the Spartans. I think ND is going to take this one by 10 or more.

Pick: Notre Dame Fighting Irish at -7 1/2

 

Well, there you are. Not a lot of upsets in there or anything, just sticking with the favorite who should beat the spread. I'll try to make it a point to write something up Monday on how I did.

As always, if you have an opinion, feel free to leave a comment. Your comment won't pop up right away, but I'll make sure they get posted, and I'll try to respond.

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September 16, 2009

Odds for this weekend

I know, I totally missed posting anything last week on football. I wouldn't worry about it too much though, Notre Dame killed me.

Below is this weeks odds, and I'll try to get some picks in tomorrow. There's a few games missing because it's early in the week, and I'll try to get the, up if they're relevant. As always, your feedback is welcomed, Here they are:

 

un, 20 Sep 2009 01:05 PM This game is circled.
205   Raiders +3 (-105) OV 39 (-110) NA
206   Chiefs -3 (-115) UN 39 (-110) NA
 
Sun, 20 Sep 2009 01:05 PM This game is circled.
207   Texans +6½ (-110) OV 40½ (-110) NA
208   Titans -6½ (-110) UN 40½ (-110) NA
 
Sun, 20 Sep 2009 01:05 PM This game is circled.
209   Patriots -3½ (-110) OV 46½ (-110) NA
210   Jets +3½ (-110) UN 46½ (-110) NA
 
Sun, 20 Sep 2009 01:05 PM This game is circled.
211   Bengals +9 (-110) OV 42 (-110) NA
212   Packers -9 (-110) UN 42 (-110) NA
 
Sun, 20 Sep 2009 01:05 PM This game is circled.
213   Vikings -9½ (-110) OV 47 (-110) NA
214   Lions +9½ (-110) UN 47 (-110) NA
 
Sun, 20 Sep 2009 01:05 PM This game is circled.
215   Saints NA NA NA
216   Eagles NA NA NA
 
Sun, 20 Sep 2009 01:05 PM This game is circled.
217   Panthers +6 (-110) OV 43 (-110) NA
218   Falcons -6 (-110) UN 43 (-110) NA
 
Sun, 20 Sep 2009 01:05 PM This game is circled.
219   Rams +9½ (-110) OV 36½ (-110) NA
220   Redskins -9½ (-110) UN 36½ (-110) NA
 
Sun, 20 Sep 2009 01:05 PM This game is circled.
221   Cardinals +3 (EV) OV 42½ (-110) NA
222   Jaguars -3 (-120) UN 42½ (-110) NA
 
Sun, 20 Sep 2009 04:10 PM This game is circled.
223   Seahawks +1½ (-110) OV 39½ (-110) NA
224   49ers -1½ (-110) UN 39½ (-110) NA
 
Sun, 20 Sep 2009 04:10 PM This game is circled.
225   Buccaneers +5 (-110) OV 42 (-110) NA
226   Bills -5 (-110) UN 42 (-110) NA
 
Sun, 20 Sep 2009 04:20 PM This game is circled.
227   Browns +3 (EV) OV 37½ (-110) NA
228   Broncos -3 (-120) UN 37½ (-110) NA
 
Sun, 20 Sep 2009 04:20 PM This game is circled.
229   Ravens +3 (EV) OV 40½ (-110) NA
230   Chargers -3 (-120) UN 40½ (-110) NA
 
Sun, 20 Sep 2009 04:20 PM This game is circled.
231   Steelers -3 (+105) OV 37½ (-110) NA
232   Bears +3 (-125) UN 37½ (-110) NA
 
Sun, 20 Sep 2009 08:25 PM This game will be televised on NBC. This game is circled.
233   Giants +3 (-115) OV 43½ (-110) NA
234   Cowboys -3 (-105) UN 43½ (-110) NA
NFL – WEEK 2
Mon, 21 Sep 2009 08:40 PM This game will be televised on ESPN. This game is circled.
235   Colts -3 (-120) OV 42 (-110) NA
236   Dolphins +3 (EV) UN 42 (-110) NA

 

Thu, 17 Sep 2009 07:50 PM This game will be televised on ESPN. This game is circled.
101   Georgia Tech +4½ (-110) NA +175
102   Miami, Florida -4½ (-110) NA -210
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Fri, 18 Sep 2009 09:05 PM This game will be televised on ESPN. This game is circled.
103   Boise State -7 (-110) NA -280
104   Fresno State +7 (-110) NA +240
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 12:05 PM This game will be televised on CBC. This game is circled.
105   Ball State +7½ (-110) NA NA
106   Army -7½ (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 12:05 PM This game will be televised on B10. This game is circled.
107   No Illinois +13 (-110) NA NA
108   Purdue -13 (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 12:05 PM This game will be televised on B10. This game is circled.
109   E Michigan +24 (-110) NA NA
110   Michigan -24 (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 06:05 PM This game is circled.
111   Navy +6½ (-110) NA NA
112   Pittsburgh -6½ (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 07:05 PM This game is circled.
113   Northwestern -3 (-110) NA NA
114   Syracuse +3 (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 12:05 PM This game is circled.
115   Boston College +7 (-110) NA NA
116   Clemson -7 (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 12:05 PM This game will be televised on B10. This game is circled.
117   Temple +29½ (-110) NA NA
118   Penn State -29½ (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 12:05 PM This game will be televised on ESPN. This game is circled.
119   East Carolina +7½ (-110) NA NA
120   North Carolina -7½ (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 07:05 PM This game is circled.
121   Miami, Ohio +17 (-110) NA NA
122   W Michigan -17 (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 07:05 PM This game is circled.
123   Mississippi St. +9 (-110) NA NA
124   Vanderbilt -9 (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 03:35 PM This game is circled.
125   Wyoming +7 (-110) NA NA
126   Colorado -7 (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 03:35 PM This game will be televised on ABC. This game is circled.
127   Arizona +5 (-110) NA NA
128   Iowa -5 (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 03:35 PM This game will be televised on ESPNU. This game is circled.
129   Indiana +5 (-110) NA NA
130   Akron -5 (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 12:05 PM This game will be televised on VER. This game is circled.
131   Duke +22½ (-110) NA NA
132   Kansas -22½ (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 03:35 PM This game will be televised on CBC. This game is circled.
133   Virginia +16½ (-110) NA NA
134   Southern Miss -16½ (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 03:35 PM This game will be televised on ESPN. This game is circled.
135   Utah +4 (-110) NA NA
136   Oregon -4 (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 03:35 PM This game will be televised on ABC. This game is circled.
137   Southern Cal -20 (-110) NA NA
138   Washington +20 (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 10:20 PM This game will be televised on FSN. This game is circled.
139   Kansas State +12½ (-110) NA NA
140   UCLA -12½ (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 03:35 PM This game will be televised on ABC. This game is circled.
141   Nebraska +4½ (-110) NA NA
142   Virginia Tech -4½ (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 03:35 PM This game will be televised on NBC. This game is circled.
143   Michigan State +10 (-110) NA NA
144   Notre Dame -10 (-110) NA NA
Game will be played at Cleveland Browns Stadium
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 12:05 PM This game is circled.
145   Ohio State -20 (-110) NA NA
146   Toledo +20 (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 07:50 PM This game will be televised on ESPN2. This game is circled.
147   West Virginia +7 (-110) NA NA
148   Auburn -7 (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 03:35 PM This game will be televised on CBS. This game is circled.
149   Tennessee +29½ (-110) NA NA
150   Florida -29½ (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 05:05 PM This game is circled.
151   SMU -6½ (-110) NA NA
152   Washington St. +6½ (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 05:05 PM This game is circled.
153   San Diego State -3½ (-110) NA NA
154   Idaho +3½ (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 05:05 PM This game is circled.
155   Nevada Reno -3 (-105) NA NA
156   Colorado State +3 (-115) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 07:05 PM This game is circled.
157   Bowling Green -3 (-110) NA NA
158   Marshall +3 (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 12:05 PM This game will be televised on ESPN2. This game is circled.
159   California -13½ (-110) NA NA
160   Minnesota +13½ (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 07:35 PM This game is circled.
161   Buffalo +4 (-110) NA NA
162   Central Florida -4 (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 07:05 PM This game is circled.
163   Rice +32½ (-110) NA NA
164   Oklahoma State -32½ (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 03:35 PM This game will be televised on FSN. This game is circled.
165   Tulsa +16½ (-110) NA NA
166   Oklahoma -16½ (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 05:05 PM This game is circled.
167   Connecticut +10 (-110) NA NA
168   Baylor -10 (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 07:05 PM This game is circled.
169   Utah State +19 (-110) NA NA
170   Texas A&M -19 (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 12:05 PM This game will be televised on ESPNU. This game is circled.
171   Louisville +13½ (-110) NA NA
172   Kentucky -13½ (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 07:05 PM This game is circled.
173   Iowa State -3 (-105) NA NA
174   Kent +3 (-115) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 07:05 PM This game will be televised on VER. This game is circled.
175   Florida State +7½ (-110) NA NA
176   BYU -7½ (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 07:50 PM This game will be televised on ESPN. This game is circled.
177   Georgia +1 (-110) NA NA
178   Arkansas -1 (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 07:35 PM This game will be televised on CBC. This game is circled.
179   Air Force -17 (-110) NA NA
180   New Mexico +17 (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 08:05 PM This game is circled.
181   Texas El Paso -13½ (-110) NA NA
182   New Mexico St. +13½ (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 08:05 PM This game will be televised on ABC. This game is circled.
183   Texas Tech +17½ (-110) NA NA
184   Texas -17½ (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 11:05 PM This game will be televised on MTN. This game is circled.
185   Hawaii +7 (-110) NA NA
186   UNLV -7 (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 09:05 PM This game is circled.
187   San Jose State +17½ (-110) NA NA
188   Stanford -17½ (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 06:50 PM This game will be televised on FSN. This game is circled.
189   Cincinnati -1 (-110) NA NA
190   Oregon State +1 (-110) NA NA
ADDED GAMES
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 05:05 PM This game is circled.
191   Fla Internation +14½ (-110) NA NA
192   Rutgers -14½ (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 12:25 PM This game is circled.
193   North Texas NA NA NA
194   Alabama NA NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 03:35 PM This game is circled.
195   Mid Tenn St +5½ (-110) NA NA
196   Maryland -5½ (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 07:05 PM This game is circled.
197   Fla Atlantic +20½ (-110) NA NA
198   South Carolina -20½ (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 03:35 PM This game is circled.
199   UAB +6½ (-110) NA NA
200   Troy U -6½ (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 07:05 PM This game will be televised on ESPNU. This game is circled.
201   UL Lafayette +26½ (-110) NA NA
202   Louisiana State -26½ (-110) NA NA
 
Sat, 19 Sep 2009 10:05 PM This game is circled.
203   UL Monroe +19 (-110) NA NA
204   Arizona State -19 (-110) NA NA

 

 

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